WARM, SHOWERY WEATHER: A stalled surface front is near the Mississippi River this morning, and moisture levels will continue to increase across Alabama today. We will mention a chance of scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm through tonight… the day will feature more clouds than sun with a high not too early from 80 degrees. We note the average high for Birmingham on November 6 is 68.
The overall pattern won’t change much through the weekend. There will some risk of showers on a daily basis through Sunday, but rain distribution won’t be very even due to the scattered nature of the rain. A rumble of thunder is possible at times. Average rain amounts from today through the weekend will be around one inch, but the range is from a quarter of an inch to two inches. This won’t break the drought, but it is a start. Temperatures will remain above average with highs in the 77-82 degree range; lows will be in the 60s.
The tropical system in the Gulf will stay to the south and won’t directly impact Alabama.
NEXT WEEK: The weather trends drier as the upper ridge rebuilds; much of the week will be rain-free with highs in the 70s. See the video briefing for maps, graphics, and more details.
TROPICS: Hurricane Rafael, with sustained winds of 90 mph, is about 120 miles southeast of the Isle of Youth this morning… it is moving to the northwest at 14 mph. It will cross the western part of Cuba later today, and emerge into the southern Gulf of Mexico tonight.
We are getting much better model agreement this morning, and the NHC track has been adjusted southward. Rafael will encounter strong winds aloft, dry air, and cooler sea surface temperatures by the weekend which should induce rapid weakening, and there is a good chance it will be sheared apart before eating any part of the U.S. coast.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Scattered showers are possible for the high football playoff games across Alabama Friday night, but nothing heavy or widespread. The sky will be mostly cloudy with temperatures falling through the 70s.
Saturday UAB will host UConn at Protective Stadium in downtown Birmingham (1:30p CT kickoff); expect a mix of sun and clouds with a passing shower possible during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 78-81 degree range.
Alabama will be in Baton Rouge to take on LSU Saturday night (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be cloudy with a few periods of rain possible during the game… temperatures will fall slowly through the 70s.
ON THIS DATE IN 1885: A strong/violent tornado moved through Dallas County, passing just west of Selma. A total of 13 people were killed, and over 400 others were injured.
ON THIS DATE IN 1977: Several possible causes lead to the collapse of the Kelly Barnes Dam in Georgia to give way. The failure allowed a 40-acre lake to flood the Toccoa Falls College, killing 39 people and injuring 60 more.
Look for the next video briefing here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!
Category: Alabama’s Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos
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